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PMID: 24203662 Published · ppublish English Journal Article

Streaks in skilled performance.

Psychonomic bulletin & review ·Vol. 2 ·No. 2 ·1995-06-00 ·Pages 260-5

Gilden DL, Wilson SG

Abstract

Experiments in golf putting and darts demonstrated that skilled performance is streaky. The tendency for outcome sequences to form streaks was greatest when the task difficulty was such that about half the trials were successful. Mixtures of the two activities were also streaky, even when periodic interruption made the individual components resemble a random Bernoulli process. Formal models of sequence structure revealed that waves in hit rate are associated with the appearance of streaks.

Authors & Affiliations
2 authors, click to expand affiliations / ORCID
Gilden D L
Department of Psychology, University of Texas, Mezes 330, 78712, Austin, TX, [email protected].
Wilson S G
References (2)
2 references, click to expand
  1. Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.
    Science. 1974 Sep 27;185(4157):1124-31 PMID: 17835457
  2. On the nature of streaks in signal detection.
    Cogn Psychol. 1995 Feb;28(1):17-64 PMID: 7895468
Article Info
Journal
Psychonomic bulletin & review
Abbr.
Psychon Bull Rev
ISSN
1069-9384
Published
1995-06-00
Pages
260-5
Language
English
Region
United States
NLM ID
9502924
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