Application of a short term air quality action plan in Madrid (Spain) under a high-pollution episode - Part II: Assessment from multi-scale modelling.

Air pollution continues to be one of the main issues in urban areas. In addition to air quality plans and emission abatement policies, additional measures for high pollution episodes are needed to avoid exceedances of hourly limit values under unfavourable meteorological conditions such as the Madrid's short-term action NO2 protocol. In December 2016 there was a strong atmospheric stability episode that turned out in generalized high NO2 levels, causing the stage 3 of the NO2 protocol to be triggered for the first time in Madrid (29th December). In addition to other traffic-related measures, this involves access restrictions to the city centre (50% to private cars). We simulated the episode with and without measures under a multi-scale modelling approach. A 1 km2 resolution modelling system based on WRF-SMOKE-CMAQ was applied to assess city-wide effects while the Star-CCM+ (RANS CFD model) was used to investigate the effect at street level in a microscale domain in the city centre, focusing on Gran Vía Avenue. Changes in road traffic were simulated with the mesoscale VISUM model, incorporating real flux measurements during those days. The corresponding simulations suggest that the application of the protocol during this particular episode may have prevented concentrations to increase by 24 μg·m-3 (14% respect to the hypothetical no action scenario) downtown although it may have cause NO2 to slightly increase in the city outskirts due to traffic redistribution. Speed limitation and parking restrictions alone (stages 1 and 2 respectively) have a very limited effect. The microscale simulation provides consistent results but shows an important variability at street level, with reduction above 100 μg·m-3 in some spots inside Gran Vía. Although further research is needed, these results point out the need to implement short-term action plans and to apply a consistent multi-scale modelling assessment to optimize urban air quality abatement strategies.