Abstract
To define risk factors that predict adverse outcomes after proctectomy for cancer in Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Centers. Accurate presurgical assessment of the risk of perioperative complications and death is important in planning surgical therapy. The National VA Surgical Quality Improvement Program contains prospectively collected and extensively validated data on >287,000 patients. All patients undergoing proctectomy for rectal cancer from 1991 to 1995 who were registered in this data base were selected for study. Independent variables examined included 68 presurgical and 12 intraoperative clinical risk factors; dependent variables were 21 specific adverse outcomes. Stepwise logistic regression analysis was used to construct models predicting 30-day morbidity rates for each of the 10 most common complications and the 30-day mortality rate. Five hundred ninety-one patients were identified; 467 (79%) underwent abdominoperineal resection and 124 (21%) were treated with sphincter-saving procedures. Thirty percent of patients had one or more complications after proctectomy. Prolonged ileus, urinary tract infection, pneumonia, and deep wound infection were the most frequently reported complications. The 30-day mortality rate was 3.2% (19 deaths). For most complications, 30-day mortality rates were significantly higher for patients with complications than for those without. Thirty-day mortality rates for several complications exceeded 50%: cardiac arrest requiring cardiopulmonary resuscitation, deep venous thrombosis or thrombophlebitis, coma lasting >24 hours, acute renal failure, cerebrovascular accident, and pulmonary embolism. Four presurgical factors predicted a high risk of 30-day mortality in the logistic regression analysis: elevated blood urea nitrogen level, impaired sensorium, low serum albumin concentration, and partial thromboplastin time < or =25 seconds. Mortality rates after proctectomy in VA hospitals are comparable to those reported in other large series. Most postsurgical complications are associated with an increased 30-day mortality rate. Elevated presurgical blood urea nitrogen level, impaired sensorium, low serum albumin concentration, and partial thromboplastin time < or =25 seconds predict a high risk of 30-day mortality.
MeSH Terms
Adult
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Female
Hospital Mortality
Hospitals, Veterans/standards
Humans
Logistic Models
Male
Middle Aged
Outcome Assessment, Health Care
Postoperative Complications
Quality Assurance, Health Care
Rectal Neoplasms/mortality,surgery
Risk Factors
Survival Analysis
United States
Authors & Affiliations
9 authors, click to expand affiliations / ORCID
Longo W E
St. Louis University School of Medicine and St. Louis VA Medical Center, MO, USA.
Virgo K S
Johnson F E
Wade T P
Vernava A M
Phelan M A
Henderson W G
Daley J
Khuri S F
References (29)
29 references, click to expand
-
Emergency presentation and mortality from colorectal cancer in the elderly.
Br J Surg. 1986 Mar;73(3):214-6
PMID: 3947921
-
Perforative carcinoma of colon and rectum.
Ann Surg. 1974 Nov;180(5):734-40
PMID: 4423043
-
Changing survival prospects in rectal carcinoma. A series of 1,306 patients managed by one surgeon.
Dis Colon Rectum. 1986 Dec;29(12):798-803
PMID: 2431841
-
Outcome of colorectal cancer.
Br J Surg. 1987 May;74(5):370-2
PMID: 3594126
-
Regression analyses of prognostic factors in colorectal cancer.
J Surg Oncol. 1988 Feb;37(2):109-12
PMID: 3343838
-
Predictors of survival after curative resection of carcinoma of the colon and rectum.
Cancer. 1987 Nov 1;60(9):2318-24
PMID: 3440238
-
Regression analysis of prognostic factors in colorectal cancer after curative resections.
Dis Colon Rectum. 1988 Jan;31(1):33-41
PMID: 3366023
-
Operative mortality following surgery for colorectal cancer.
Br J Surg. 1989 Jul;76(7):745-7
PMID: 2765818
-
Perioperative blood transfusion increases the risk of recurrence in colorectal cancer.
Dis Colon Rectum. 1989 Nov;32(11):975-9
PMID: 2806027
-
Initial report of the Veterans Administration Preoperative Risk Assessment Study for Cardiac Surgery.
Ann Thorac Surg. 1990 Jul;50(1):12-26; discussion 27-8
PMID: 2196014
-
Urologic complications following abdominoperineal resection.
J Urol. 1976 Feb;115(2):180-2
PMID: 1249871
-
The results of surgical treatment for carcinoma of the rectum of St Mark's Hospital from 1948 to 1972.
Br J Surg. 1976 Sep;63(9):673-7
PMID: 61055
-
Review of abdominoperineal resections for cancer.
Am J Surg. 1977 Nov;134(5):624-9
PMID: 920894
-
Obstructive colonic cancer.
Dis Colon Rectum. 1978 Jul-Aug;21(5):346-51
PMID: 699724
-
Mortality, morbidity, and patterns of recurrence after abdominoperineal resection for cancer of the rectum.
Dis Colon Rectum. 1982 Apr;25(3):202-8
PMID: 7067559
-
Complications in surgery of the colon and rectum.
Surg Clin North Am. 1983 Dec;63(6):1215-31
PMID: 6359498
-
Local recurrence following 'curative' surgery for large bowel cancer: I. The overall picture.
Br J Surg. 1984 Jan;71(1):12-6
PMID: 6689962
-
Survival in acute obstructing colorectal carcinoma.
Dis Colon Rectum. 1984 May;27(5):299-304
PMID: 6714046
-
Therapy of ischemic cerebral vascular disease due to atherothrombosis (1).
N Engl J Med. 1984 Jul 5;311(1):27-34
PMID: 6374458
-
Multivariate analysis of prognostic factors for operable rectal cancer.
Lancet. 1984 Sep 29;2(8405):733-6
PMID: 6148482
-
The outcome following sphincter-saving resection and abdominoperineal resection for low rectal cancer.
Br J Surg. 1985 Aug;72(8):595-8
PMID: 4027528
-
Preexisting disease as a predictor of the outcome of colectomy.
Am J Surg. 1991 Nov;162(5):497-8
PMID: 1951920
-
Declining mortality rates for cancer of the rectum in the United States: 1940-1985.
Cancer. 1992 Dec 1;70(11):2597-601
PMID: 1423187
-
Advanced colorectal neoplasia in the high-risk elderly patient: is surgical resection justified?
Dis Colon Rectum. 1993 Feb;36(2):161-6
PMID: 8425420
-
Morbidity and mortality following abdominoperineal resection for rectal adenocarcinoma.
Am Surg. 1993 Jul;59(7):400-4
PMID: 8323072
-
Evaluation of the prognostic significance of the site of origin of cutaneous melanoma.
Am Surg. 1994 May;60(5):362-6
PMID: 8161088
-
Prognosis of elderly patients with large bowel cancer.
Br J Surg. 1994 May;81(5):736-8
PMID: 8044567
-
The National Veterans Administration Surgical Risk Study: risk adjustment for the comparative assessment of the quality of surgical care.
J Am Coll Surg. 1995 May;180(5):519-31
PMID: 7749526
-
Survival and locations of recurrence following abdomino-perineal resection for rectal cancer.
J Surg Oncol. 1986 Apr;31(4):235-9
PMID: 3724178