Home LiteratureArticle Details
PMID: 17978179 Published · ppublish English Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Statistical evaluation of alternative models of human evolution.

Fagundes NJ, Ray N, Beaumont M, Neuenschwander S, Salzano FM, Bonatto SL, Excoffier L

Abstract

An appropriate model of recent human evolution is not only important to understand our own history, but it is necessary to disentangle the effects of demography and selection on genome diversity. Although most genetic data support the view that our species originated recently in Africa, it is still unclear if it completely replaced former members of the Homo genus, or if some interbreeding occurred during its range expansion. Several scenarios of modern human evolution have been proposed on the basis of molecular and paleontological data, but their likelihood has never been statistically assessed. Using DNA data from 50 nuclear loci sequenced in African, Asian and Native American samples, we show here by extensive simulations that a simple African replacement model with exponential growth has a higher probability (78%) as compared with alternative multiregional evolution or assimilation scenarios. A Bayesian analysis of the data under this best supported model points to an origin of our species approximately 141 thousand years ago (Kya), an exit out-of-Africa approximately 51 Kya, and a recent colonization of the Americas approximately 10.5 Kya. We also find that the African replacement model explains not only the shallow ancestry of mtDNA or Y-chromosomes but also the occurrence of deep lineages at some autosomal loci, which has been formerly interpreted as a sign of interbreeding with Homo erectus.

MeSH Terms
Africa Animals Asia Biological Evolution Biometry DNA/genetics,isolation & purification Demography Genetic Variation Geography Hominidae/genetics Humans/genetics Models, Biological Molecular Sequence Data
Chemicals
DNA
Authors & Affiliations
7 authors, click to expand affiliations / ORCID
Fagundes Nelson J R
Laboratório de Biologia Genômica e Molecular, Faculdade de Biociências, Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio Grande do Sul, 90619-900 Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil.
Ray Nicolas
Beaumont Mark
Neuenschwander Samuel
Salzano Francisco M
Bonatto Sandro L
Excoffier Laurent
References (52)
52 references, click to expand
  1. Genomics refutes an exclusively African origin of humans.
    J Hum Evol. 2005 Jul;49(1):1-18 PMID: 15878780
  2. Genetics and recent human evolution.
    Evolution. 2007 Jul;61(7):1507-19 PMID: 17598736
  3. Fixation of the human-specific CMP-N-acetylneuraminic acid hydroxylase pseudogene and implications of haplotype diversity for human evolution.
    Genetics. 2006 Feb;172(2):1139-46 PMID: 16272417
  4. Approximate Bayesian computation in population genetics.
    Genetics. 2002 Dec;162(4):2025-35 PMID: 12524368
  5. Larger genetic differences within africans than between Africans and Eurasians.
    Genetics. 2002 May;161(1):269-74 PMID: 12019240
  6. Genomic signatures of positive selection in humans and the limits of outlier approaches.
    Genome Res. 2006 Aug;16(8):980-9 PMID: 16825663
  7. Human migrations and population structure: what we know and why it matters.
    Annu Rev Genomics Hum Genet. 2002;3:129-52 PMID: 12142358
  8. Single, rapid coastal settlement of Asia revealed by analysis of complete mitochondrial genomes.
    Science. 2005 May 13;308(5724):1034-6 PMID: 15890885
  9. Why hunter-gatherer populations do not show signs of pleistocene demographic expansions.
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 1999 Sep 14;96(19):10597-602 PMID: 10485871
  10. Diversity and age of the four major mtDNA haplogroups, and their implications for the peopling of the New World.
    Am J Hum Genet. 1997 Dec;61(6):1413-23 PMID: 9399887
  11. Nonequilibrium migration in human history.
    Genetics. 1999 Dec;153(4):1863-71 PMID: 10581291
  12. Recovering the geographic origin of early modern humans by realistic and spatially explicit simulations.
    Genome Res. 2005 Aug;15(8):1161-7 PMID: 16077015
  13. On the number of New World founders: a population genetic portrait of the peopling of the Americas.
    PLoS Biol. 2005 Jun;3(6):e193 PMID: 15898833
  14. Stratigraphic placement and age of modern humans from Kibish, Ethiopia.
    Nature. 2005 Feb 17;433(7027):733-6 PMID: 15716951
  15. Population growth of human Y chromosomes: a study of Y chromosome microsatellites.
    Mol Biol Evol. 1999 Dec;16(12):1791-8 PMID: 10605120
  16. Molecular analysis reveals tighter social regulation of immigration in patrilocal populations than in matrilocal populations.
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2005 May 24;102(21):7476-80 PMID: 15894624
  17. Integration within the Felsenstein equation for improved Markov chain Monte Carlo methods in population genetics.
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2007 Feb 20;104(8):2785-90 PMID: 17301231
  18. Consed: a graphical tool for sequence finishing.
    Genome Res. 1998 Mar;8(3):195-202 PMID: 9521923
  19. SIMCOAL 2.0: a program to simulate genomic diversity over large recombining regions in a subdivided population with a complex history.
    Bioinformatics. 2004 Oct 12;20(15):2485-7 PMID: 15117750
  20. Haplotype trees and modern human origins.
    Am J Phys Anthropol. 2005;Suppl 41:33-59 PMID: 16369961
  21. Reconstructing human origins in the genomic era.
    Nat Rev Genet. 2006 Sep;7(9):669-80 PMID: 16921345
  22. Modern human origins: progress and prospects.
    Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2002 Apr 29;357(1420):563-79 PMID: 12028792
  23. Markov chain Monte Carlo without likelihoods.
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2003 Dec 23;100(26):15324-8 PMID: 14663152
  24. Monte Verde. A Late Pleistocene Settlement in Chile. Vol. 1, Palaeoenvironment and Site Context. Tom D. Dillehay. Smithsonian Institution Press, Washington, DC, 1989. xxiv, 306 pp., illus. $49.95. Smithsonian Series in Archaeological Inquiry.
    Science. 1990 Aug 24;249(4971):937-8 PMID: 17773106
  25. Sequence variations in the public human genome data reflect a bottlenecked population history.
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2003 Jan 7;100(1):376-81 PMID: 12502794
  26. The effect of the Neolithic expansion on European molecular diversity.
    Proc Biol Sci. 2005 Apr 7;272(1564):679-88 PMID: 15870030
  27. Arlequin (version 3.0): an integrated software package for population genetics data analysis.
    Evol Bioinform Online. 2007 Feb 23;1:47-50 PMID: 19325852
  28. Genomic divergences between humans and other hominoids and the effective population size of the common ancestor of humans and chimpanzees.
    Am J Hum Genet. 2001 Feb;68(2):444-56 PMID: 11170892
  29. Bayesian analysis of an admixture model with mutations and arbitrarily linked markers.
    Genetics. 2005 Mar;169(3):1727-38 PMID: 15654099
  30. A geographically explicit genetic model of worldwide human-settlement history.
    Am J Hum Genet. 2006 Aug;79(2):230-7 PMID: 16826514
  31. Sequencing and analysis of Neanderthal genomic DNA.
    Science. 2006 Nov 17;314(5802):1113-8 PMID: 17110569
  32. Alu insertion polymorphisms in Native Americans and related Asian populations.
    Ann Hum Biol. 2006 Mar-Apr;33(2):142-60 PMID: 16684689
  33. Possible ancestral structure in human populations.
    PLoS Genet. 2006 Jul;2(7):e105 PMID: 16895447
  34. Evidence that the adaptive allele of the brain size gene microcephalin introgressed into Homo sapiens from an archaic Homo lineage.
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2006 Nov 28;103(48):18178-83 PMID: 17090677
  35. Why did modern human populations disperse from Africa ca. 60,000 years ago? A new model.
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2006 Jun 20;103(25):9381-6 PMID: 16772383
  36. Calibrating a coalescent simulation of human genome sequence variation.
    Genome Res. 2005 Nov;15(11):1576-83 PMID: 16251467
  37. Low nucleotide diversity in chimpanzees and bonobos.
    Genetics. 2003 Aug;164(4):1511-8 PMID: 12930756
  38. Out of Africa again and again.
    Nature. 2002 Mar 7;416(6876):45-51 PMID: 11882887
  39. Support from the relationship of genetic and geographic distance in human populations for a serial founder effect originating in Africa.
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2005 Nov 1;102(44):15942-7 PMID: 16243969
  40. The application of molecular genetic approaches to the study of human evolution.
    Nat Genet. 2003 Mar;33 Suppl:266-75 PMID: 12610536
  41. ESTIMATING F-STATISTICS FOR THE ANALYSIS OF POPULATION STRUCTURE.
    Evolution. 1984 Nov;38(6):1358-1370 PMID: 28563791
  42. Disentangling the effects of demography and selection in human history.
    Mol Biol Evol. 2005 Jan;22(1):63-73 PMID: 15356276
  43. Testing multiregionality of modern human origins.
    Mol Biol Evol. 2001 Feb;18(2):172-83 PMID: 11158376
  44. Base-calling of automated sequencer traces using phred. I. Accuracy assessment.
    Genome Res. 1998 Mar;8(3):175-85 PMID: 9521921
  45. The ENCODE (ENCyclopedia Of DNA Elements) Project.
    Science. 2004 Oct 22;306(5696):636-40 PMID: 15499007
  46. Inferences about human demography based on multilocus analyses of noncoding sequences.
    Genetics. 2002 Jul;161(3):1209-18 PMID: 12136023
  47. Neandertal DNA sequences and the origin of modern humans.
    Cell. 1997 Jul 11;90(1):19-30 PMID: 9230299
  48. Multiple transatlantic introductions of the western corn rootworm.
    Science. 2005 Nov 11;310(5750):992 PMID: 16284172
  49. Interrogating multiple aspects of variation in a full resequencing data set to infer human population size changes.
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2005 Dec 20;102(51):18508-13 PMID: 16352722
  50. Shared history of humans and gut bacteria: evolutionary togetherness: coupled evolution of humans and a pathogen.
    Heredity (Edinb). 2007 Jun;98(6):337-8 PMID: 17426728
  51. Y-chromosome evidence for differing ancient demographic histories in the Americas.
    Am J Hum Genet. 2003 Sep;73(3):524-39 PMID: 12900798
  52. Analysis of one million base pairs of Neanderthal DNA.
    Nature. 2006 Nov 16;444(7117):330-6 PMID: 17108958
Article Info
Journal
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Abbr.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
ISSN
0027-8424
Published
2007-11-06
Epub
2007-00-31
Pages
17614-9
Language
English
Region
United States
NLM ID
7505876
PMCID
PMC2077041
Subset
IM
Databases
GENBANK
EU105474, EU105475, EU105476, EU105477, EU105478, EU105479, EU105480, EU105481, EU105482, EU105483, EU105484, EU105485, EU105486, EU105487, EU105488, EU105489, EU105490, EU105491, EU105492, EU105493, EU105494, EU105495, EU105496, EU105497, EU105498, EU105499, EU105500, EU105501, EU105502, EU105503, EU105504, EU105505, EU105506, EU105507, EU105508, EU105509, EU105510, EU105511, EU105512, EU105513, EU105514, EU105515, EU105516, EU105517, EU105518, EU105519, EU105520, EU105521, EU105522, EU105523, EU105524, EU105525, EU105526, EU105527, EU105528, EU105529, EU105530, EU105531, EU105532, EU105533, EU105534, EU105535, EU105536, EU105537, EU105538, EU105539, EU105540, EU105541, EU105542, EU105543, EU105544, EU105545, EU105546, EU105547, EU105548, EU105549, EU105550, EU105551, EU105552, EU105553, EU105554, EU105555, EU105556, EU105557, EU105558, EU105559, EU105560, EU105561, EU105562, EU105563, EU105564, EU105565, EU105566, EU105567, EU105568, EU105569, EU105570, EU105571, EU105572, EU105573, EU105574, EU105575, EU105576, EU105577, EU105578, EU105579, EU105580, EU105581, EU105582, EU105583, EU105584, EU105585, EU105586, EU105587, EU105588, EU105589, EU105590, EU105591, EU105592, EU105593, EU105594, EU105595, EU105596, EU105597, EU105598, EU105599, EU105600, EU105601, EU105602, EU105603, EU105604, EU105605, EU105606, EU105607, EU105608, EU105609, EU105610, EU105611, EU105612, EU105613, EU105614, EU105615, EU105616, EU105617, EU105618, EU105619, EU105620, EU105621, EU105622, EU105623, EU105624, EU105625, EU105626, EU105627, EU105628, EU105629, EU105630, EU105631, EU105632, EU105633, EU105634, EU105635, EU105636, EU105637, EU105638, EU105639, EU105640, EU105641, EU105642, EU105643, EU105644, EU105645, EU105646, EU105647, EU105648, EU105649, EU105650, EU105651, EU105652, EU105653, EU105654, EU105655, EU105656, EU105657, EU105658, EU105659, EU105660, EU105661, EU105662, EU105663, EU105664, EU105665, EU105666, EU105667, EU105668, EU105669, EU105670, EU105671, EU105672, EU105673, EU105674, EU105675, EU105676, EU105677, EU105678, EU105679, EU105680, EU105681, EU105682, EU105683, EU105684, EU105685, EU105686, EU105687, EU105688, EU105689, EU105690, EU105691, EU105692, EU105693, EU105694, EU105695, EU105696, EU105697, EU105698, EU105699, EU105700, EU105701, EU105702, EU105703, EU105704, EU105705, EU105706, EU105707, EU105708, EU105709, EU105710, EU105711, EU105712, EU105713, EU105714, EU105715, EU105716, EU105717, EU105718, EU105719, EU105720, EU105721, EU105722, EU105723, EU105724, EU105725, EU105726, EU105727, EU105728, EU105729, EU105730, EU105731, EU105732, EU105733, EU105734, EU105735, EU105736, EU105737, EU105738, EU105739, EU105740, EU105741, EU105742, EU105743, EU105744, EU105745, EU105746, EU105747, EU105748, EU105749, EU105750, EU105751, EU105752, EU105753, EU105754, EU105755, EU105756, EU105757, EU105758, EU105759, EU105760, EU105761, EU105762, EU105763, EU105764, EU105765, EU105766, EU105767, EU105768, EU105769, EU105770, EU105771, EU105772, EU105773, EU105774, EU105775, EU105776, EU105777, EU105778, EU105779, EU105780, EU105781, EU105782, EU105783, EU105784, EU105785, EU105786, EU105787, EU105788, EU105789, EU105790, EU105791, EU105792, EU105793, EU105794, EU105795, EU105796, EU105797, EU105798, EU105799, EU105800, EU105801, EU105802, EU105803, EU105804, EU105805, EU105806, EU105807, EU105808, EU105809, EU105810, EU105811, EU105812, EU105813, EU105814, EU105815, EU105816, EU105817, EU105818, EU105819, EU105820, EU105821, EU105822, EU105823, EU105824, EU105825, EU105826, EU105827, EU105828, EU105829, EU105830, EU105831, EU105832, EU105833, EU105834, EU105835, EU105836, EU105837, EU105838, EU105839, EU105840, EU105841, EU105842, EU105843, EU105844, EU105845, EU105846, EU105847, EU105848, EU105849, EU105850, EU105851, EU105852, EU105853, EU105854, EU105855, EU105856, EU105857, EU105858, EU105859, EU105860, EU105861, EU105862, EU105863, EU105864, EU105865, EU105866, EU105867, EU105868, EU105869, EU105870, EU105871, EU105872, EU105873, EU105874, EU105875, EU105876, EU105877, EU105878, EU105879, EU105880, EU105881, EU105882, EU105883, EU105884, EU105885, EU105886, EU105887, EU105888, EU105889, EU105890, EU105891, EU105892, EU105893, EU105894, EU105895, EU105896, EU105897, EU105898, EU105899, EU105900, EU105901, EU105902, EU105903, EU105904, EU105905, EU105906, EU105907, EU105908, EU105909, EU105910, EU105911, EU105912, EU105913, EU105914, EU105915, EU105916, EU105917, EU105918, EU105919, EU105920, EU105921, EU105922, EU105923, EU105924, EU105925, EU105926, EU105927, EU105928, EU105929, EU105930, EU105931, EU105932, EU105933, EU105934, EU105935, EU105936, EU105937, EU105938, EU105939, EU105940, EU105941, EU105942, EU105943, EU105944, EU105945, EU105946, EU105947, EU105948, EU105949, EU105950, EU105951, EU105952, EU105953, EU105954, EU105955, EU105956, EU105957, EU105958, EU105959, EU105960, EU105961, EU105962, EU105963, EU105964, EU105965, EU105966, EU105967, EU105968, EU105969, EU105970, EU105971, EU105972, EU105973, EU105974, EU105975, EU105976, EU105977, EU105978, EU105979, EU105980, EU105981, EU105982, EU105983, EU105984, EU105985, EU105986, EU105987, EU105988, EU105989, EU105990, EU105991, EU105992, EU105993, EU105994, EU105995, EU105996, EU105997, EU105998, EU105999, EU106000, EU106001, EU106002, EU106003, EU106004, EU106005, EU106006, EU106007, EU106008, EU106009, EU106010, EU106011, EU106012, EU106013, EU106014, EU106015, EU106016, EU106017, EU106018, EU106019, EU106020, EU106021, EU106022, EU106023, EU106024, EU106025, EU106026, EU106027, EU106028, EU106029, EU106030, EU106031, EU106032, EU106033, EU106034, EU106035, EU106036, EU106037, EU106038, EU106039, EU106040, EU106041, EU106042, EU106043, EU106044, EU106045
Corrections
CommentIn
Analysis Services
Analysis Services

Contact

No. 2 Wenbo Road, Zhangqiu District, Jinan, Shandong

Qilu Normal University · Genelibs Bioinformatics Lab

750 Shunhua Rd, Jinan

2F, Bldg F, University Science Park

Tel: 0531-88819269

WeChat Official Account

Follow our WeChat subscription account for real-time updates and the latest in medical and biological research.


Business Email

E-mail: [email protected]